Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.000500 0.000542 0.000586 0.000635 0.000687 0.000743 0.000806
2026-02-01 0.000430 0.000487 0.000549 0.000622 0.000704 0.000794 0.000901
2026-02-08 0.000380 0.000447 0.000522 0.000613 0.000719 0.000840 0.000988
2026-02-15 0.000343 0.000416 0.000500 0.000605 0.000732 0.000881 0.001069
2026-02-22 0.000313 0.000390 0.000482 0.000599 0.000744 0.000918 0.001145
2026-03-01 0.000289 0.000368 0.000465 0.000592 0.000754 0.000953 0.001217
2026-03-08 0.000265 0.000346 0.000447 0.000581 0.000756 0.000976 0.001275
2026-03-15 0.000246 0.000328 0.000431 0.000573 0.000760 0.001001 0.001334
2026-03-22 0.000227 0.000308 0.000413 0.000558 0.000755 0.001012 0.001375
2026-03-29 0.000212 0.000293 0.000399 0.000550 0.000757 0.001032 0.001428
2026-04-05 0.000200 0.000282 0.000390 0.000547 0.000766 0.001062 0.001494
2026-04-12 0.000191 0.000273 0.000384 0.000547 0.000778 0.001096 0.001567
2026-04-19 0.000181 0.000263 0.000376 0.000545 0.000789 0.001131 0.001648
2026-04-26 0.000168 0.000249 0.000363 0.000535 0.000789 0.001150 0.001705
2026-05-03 0.000158 0.000238 0.000352 0.000527 0.000791 0.001172 0.001769
2026-05-10 0.000148 0.000227 0.000342 0.000521 0.000794 0.001196 0.001835
2026-05-17 0.000140 0.000218 0.000333 0.000515 0.000798 0.001221 0.001903
2026-05-24 0.000132 0.000209 0.000325 0.000510 0.000802 0.001245 0.001970
2026-05-31 0.000124 0.000200 0.000314 0.000501 0.000799 0.001258 0.002021
2026-06-07 0.000118 0.000191 0.000305 0.000493 0.000798 0.001274 0.002078
2026-06-14 0.000110 0.000181 0.000293 0.000481 0.000789 0.001277 0.002111
2026-06-21 0.000104 0.000174 0.000285 0.000473 0.000787 0.001291 0.002164
2026-06-28 0.000099 0.000169 0.000280 0.000471 0.000794 0.001318 0.002239